3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,696 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$-175/mo
Annual
$-2,098/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.00%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (12.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (30.5% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#391 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
South Madison Community School Corporation (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #60 of 301 in IN (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Maple Ridge Elementary School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #478 of 994 statewide, top 49%, 783 students, 46% FRL); Pendleton Heights Middle School (math 37% / reading 48%, grade D-, #98 of 330 statewide, top 30%, 721 students, 36% FRL); Pendleton Heights High School (math 36% / reading 77%, grade C, #70 of 369 statewide, top 19%, 1,357 students, 31% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $250k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.0% in Ingalls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQA4A5E2W6GHR0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29