3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,726 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Townhouse
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,697/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$422
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$566
Net cashflow
$-112/mo
Annual
$-1,342/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (7.0% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $270k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#206 in MN, #4,356 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Independent School District 728 (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #37 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Rogers Elementary (math 69% / reading 70%, grade A-, #74 of 857 statewide, top 10%, 627 students, 12% FRL); Rogers Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #19 of 258 statewide, top 8%, 979 students, 16% FRL); Rogers Senior High (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B, #28 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 1,740 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQJP5W7C6YSTBS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29