3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,041 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$347/mo
Annual
$4,163/yr
Cap rate
11.85%
Cash-on-cash
19.85%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#887 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Ramsey CUSD 204 (rural): math 23% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #233 of 620 in IL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
Fayette County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQQAS6AQ58ZAS0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29