2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,394 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$327
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$232/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.52%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($232/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (6.2% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $150k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Frankfort-Schuyler Central School District (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #538 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQR3X67TST7DHY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29