2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,010 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$412
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$463
Net cashflow
$-56/mo
Annual
$-667/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-667/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (4.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $200k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#44 in NY, #693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+.
Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $124k; list at $210k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ER9DKE160C404H
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29