303 Western Auto Rd

West Crossett, AR 71635

$29,000B-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · Built 1962 · SingleFamily · Active · 32 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $952/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$152
• Tax + insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$200
• Net cashflow: $552/mo
• Annual: $6,623/yr
• Cap rate: 29.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 81.56%
• DSCR: 4.63
• 1% rule: 3.28%
• Cash to close: $8,120

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $29k).
• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $28k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#230 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
• Crossett School District (town): math 19% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #213 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
• Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $23k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.