2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,894/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$11/mo
Annual
$127/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.21%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($127/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (11.9% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $1,894/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Older and outdated
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Older and outdated
Major: Flooring
— Older and dated tile
Major: Paint
— Worn and outdated paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-ERKT865H2BGJSH
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29