4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,648 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,193/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax + insurance
−$516
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$671
Net cashflow
$360/mo
Annual
$4,321/yr
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.98%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$86,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $310k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $305k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
Wylie ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wylie East El (math 58% / reading 58%, grade C+, #480 of 4,322 statewide, top 11%, 789 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image indicates significant damage to the roof.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows significant wear and tear.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No photos of the HVAC or mechanical systems are provided, but they likely need repair or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The lot is bare, indicating no landscaping or curb appeal features are present.
Major: interior walls/paint
— No interior photos are provided, but the exterior condition suggests the interior may be in poor condition as well.
Major: flooring
— The flooring is not visible, but the exterior condition suggests it may be in poor condition as well.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ERS7HB4NZ3BBKH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29