4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,703 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$677/yr
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.46%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#362 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Hilbert School District (rural): math 51% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #94 of 342 in WI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Calumet County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calumet County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $126k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ES09K3BDVY19AG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29