4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,052 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Land
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,318/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$898
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$697
Net cashflow
$569/mo
Annual
$6,829/yr
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.40%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 622 students, 56% FRL); Murdock Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 577 students, 56% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.5%/yr); 1354 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $220k implies a 479% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.8% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,318/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 36% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ES0ZTSAJKRBCQ4
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29