2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,011/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$75/mo
Annual
$900/yr
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.68%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($900/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (15.8% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#183 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Flinn Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #191 of 377 statewide, top 56%, 439 students, 0% FRL); Sissonville Middle School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #21 of 109 statewide, top 19%, 541 students, 0% FRL); Sissonville High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #69 of 110 statewide, top 71%, 563 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $120k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.1% in Sissonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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