3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,284 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,364/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,494/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.56%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vick Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 323 students, 99% FRL); Charles H Darden Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wilson County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.4% in Wilson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ETZ24F13XJPKPS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29