3648 Molestage Slack Rd

Pickens, MS 39146

$53,000B

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,368 sqft · Built 1978 · Other · Active · 150 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,232/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$278
• Tax + insurance: −$155
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$259
• Net cashflow: $541/mo
• Annual: $6,490/yr
• Cap rate: 20.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.11%
• DSCR: 3.18
• 1% rule: 2.32%
• Cash to close: $14,840

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $53k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
• It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $436 of equity ($366 loan paydown + $70 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#301 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Yazoo County School District (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #96 of 130 in MS (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Yazoo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Yazoo County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.