2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,074 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Townhouse
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,085/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$320
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$-124/mo
Annual
$-1,491/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (0.7% below list).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#300 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Walker Mill — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-EV816R1KVKYV2X
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29