10 bd · 7.5 ba ·
3,997 sqft ·
Built 1983
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,268/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,671
Tax + insurance
−$1,167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,106
Net cashflow
$-676/mo
Annual
$-8,110/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.14%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$196,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-676 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-135/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $602k (14.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $527k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($690k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $527k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $75k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $70k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Bailey Middle Apac School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #18 of 179 statewide, top 10%, 247 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$120k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $5,268/mo this rent would consume 209% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29