2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,661/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$330
HOA
−$477
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$-72/mo
Annual
$-858/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.79%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-858/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (11.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#684 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Deep Creek Elementary School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 835 students, 47% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 558 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.0% in Harbour Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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