2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,308 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,341/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,429
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-400/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$76,292
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $272k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-400/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#719 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EVXNFG6070H527
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29