3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,253 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Active
· 371 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,884/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$29
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$-261/mo
Annual
$-3,138/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.50%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (15.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 371 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#187 in IA, #3,367 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Norwalk Community School District (suburban): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #39 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 438 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 439 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.0% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 371 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EVXWM88Q7BZQHD
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29