3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,806 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 240 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,118/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$445
Net cashflow
$402/mo
Annual
$4,818/yr
Cap rate
9.11%
Cash-on-cash
10.08%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#730 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, schools D-, crime F.
Del Norte County Unified (town): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #1,047 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Del Norte County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Del Norte County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.1% in Crescent City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29