7 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,660 sqft ·
Built 2009
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,101/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,840
Tax + insurance
−$1,666
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,121
Net cashflow
$-1,526/mo
Annual
$-18,313/yr
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.37%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$418,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 3×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-305/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.23M (18.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.01M (32.4% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $1.01M (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hart Street Elementary (660 students, 95% FRL); Christopher Columbus Middle (673 students, 93% FRL); Canoga Park Senior High (math 20% / reading 52%, grade F, #604 of 1,170 statewide, top 52%, 1,436 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 67% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 35 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $850k; list at $1.50M implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,101/mo this rent would consume 163% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2338% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EWF5CQCNXEXR9H
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29