4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,607 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,943/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,965
Tax + insurance
−$624
HOA
−$217
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$618
Net cashflow
$-481/mo
Annual
$-5,778/yr
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.51%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$104,910
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-481 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (21.5% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $294k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#829 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Warfield Elementary School (math 22% / reading 19%, grade F, #2,094 of 2,144 statewide, top 98%, 686 students, 79% FRL); Indiantown Middle School (math 42% / reading 29%, grade F, #414 of 571 statewide, top 73%, 646 students, 75% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 41% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Martin average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 11.7% in Indiantown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-EX4B8TCY6EX956
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29