9087 S Pine Dr

Beulah Valley, CO 81023

$40,000B+

1 bd · None ba · 440 sqft · Built 1925 · SingleFamily · Pending · 38 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $779/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax + insurance: −$114
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$164
• Net cashflow: $291/mo
• Annual: $3,496/yr
• Cap rate: 16.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.16%
• DSCR: 2.65
• 1% rule: 1.95%
• Cash to close: $11,200

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $40k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($779 rent vs $40k).
• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#294 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime F.
• Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Prairie Winds Elementary School (math 24% / reading 27%, grade F, #594 of 966 statewide, top 62%, 500 students, 47% FRL); Sky View Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #106 of 270 statewide, top 42%, 577 students, 41% FRL); Pueblo West High School (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #192 of 381 statewide, top 51%, 1,484 students, 40% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 1.2% in Beulah Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.