2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,096 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,789/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,862
Tax + insurance
−$1,018
HOA
−$914
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$796
Net cashflow
$-801/mo
Annual
$-9,608/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.52%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$99,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $355k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-801 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (32.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $355k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 1455 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.8% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,789/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen clutter
— Items on countertops need to be cleared for a more organized appearance.
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated fixtures may need updating or replacement for a more modern look.
Minor: Landscaping
— Bushes and palm trees need trimming for a more polished appearance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EXNZ9XBF02A94V
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29