5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,014/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$-194/mo
Annual
$-2,329/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.82%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (11.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (31.7% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Brookland School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #47 of 238 in AR (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EY3DG6DHMHW72P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29