2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
912 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$906/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$399
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,980/yr
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.31%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$21,280
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($906 rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EY82KF4128F461
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29