2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
870 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$517
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,186/yr
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.55%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$27,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 7% / reading 6%, grade F, #964 of 994 statewide, top 97%, 467 students, 86% FRL); Jefferson Traditional School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #284 of 330 statewide, top 87%, 516 students, 64% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EYMW3GAT8M9B1S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29