2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$1
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$526/mo
Annual
$6,312/yr
Cap rate
15.53%
Cash-on-cash
32.98%
DSCR
2.47
1% rule
1.85%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#29 in UT, #1,169 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D.
Murray District (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #46 of 80 in UT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mcmillan School (math 52% / reading 60%, grade C+, #88 of 585 statewide, top 16%, 481 students, 27% FRL); Hillcrest Jr High (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #113 of 138 statewide, top 83%, 776 students, 39% FRL); Murray High (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #78 of 171 statewide, top 49%, 1,400 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,970 units permitted in Salt Lake County in 2024 (1,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salt Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EYQ1ZK6E4NSG2B
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29