2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-276/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-276/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in IA, #3,246 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Central Valley Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #115 of 289 in IA (top 40%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adair County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EZB2ETAHS11Q9B
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29