3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,421 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$218/mo
Annual
$2,621/yr
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.45%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
Dundee Central School District (rural): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #431 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Schuyler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuyler County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 1.4% in Dundee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EZNNNB3CG90513
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29