8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,300 sqft ·
Built 2007
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,090
Tax + insurance
−$861
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,265
Net cashflow
$-193/mo
Annual
$-2,321/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$218,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $780k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-97/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $746k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $602k (22.8% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $602k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EZSKYHF0YF5CF3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29