3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 232 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,159/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$199
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$245/mo
Annual
$2,943/yr
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.66%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#400 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F0FSSH3247P3AZ
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29