2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,703 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 241 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$784
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-92/mo
Annual
$-1,102/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.63%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$41,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (27.8% below list).
It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#158 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (rural): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #71 of 129 in AL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fayette Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 466 students, 75% FRL); Fayette Middle School (math 14% / reading 41%, grade F, #144 of 257 statewide, top 57%, 341 students, 76% FRL); Fayette County High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 387 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP.
Fayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29