3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,372 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,343/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$783
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$-112/mo
Annual
$-1,342/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.13%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (8.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $205k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#589 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Desoto ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #754 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: The Meadows El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 369 students, 72% FRL); Ruby Young Personalized Steam Academy (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,634 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 179 students, 54% FRL); Desoto H S (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,366 of 1,632 statewide, top 84%, 2,216 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.4% in DeSoto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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