294 Southview Dr

Arcade, NY 14009

$84,900B-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Built 1987 · SingleFamily · Pending · 3 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,015/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$445
• Tax + insurance: −$208
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$213
• Net cashflow: $149/mo
• Annual: $1,784/yr
• Cap rate: 9.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.86%
• DSCR: 1.48
• 1% rule: 1.20%
• Cash to close: $23,772

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#774 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Yorkshire-Pioneer Central School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #358 of 590 in NY (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $26k; list at $85k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.