204 S River Park Dr

Guttenberg, IA 52052

$100,000B

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,972 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Active · 53 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,153/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax + insurance: −$141
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$242
• Net cashflow: $246/mo
• Annual: $2,947/yr
• Cap rate: 9.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.52%
• DSCR: 1.47
• 1% rule: 1.15%
• Cash to close: $28,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#199 in IA, #3,648 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Clayton Ridge Community School District (rural): math 66% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #164 of 289 in IA (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Clayton Ridge Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 306 students, 38% FRL); Clayton Ridge Middle School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A, #95 of 246 statewide, top 42%, 125 students, 40% FRL); Clayton Ridge High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 192 students, 43% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Clayton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.