2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,235/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$679
Net cashflow
$897/mo
Annual
$10,768/yr
Cap rate
10.78%
Cash-on-cash
16.02%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $897 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#44 in MA, #2,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Peabody (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #233 of 302 in MA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.4% in Peabody — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear visible on the exterior siding.
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear visible on the roof.
Major: interior walls/paint
— Significant wear and tear visible on the interior walls/paint.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— Significant wear and tear visible on the HVAC/mechanicals.
Major: landscaping
— Significant wear and tear visible on the landscaping/curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F18H8F68YS2HA6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29