48 bd · 48.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$47,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,177
Tax + insurance
−$2,917
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$10,003
Net cashflow
$25,535/mo
Annual
$306,425/yr
Cap rate
23.80%
Cash-on-cash
62.54%
DSCR
3.78
1% rule
2.72%
Cash to close
$490,000
Investor read
This is a 6 × 8-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.75M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26k ($306k/yr) — positive. Per door: $4k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($48k rent vs $1.75M).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.54M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.54M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $52k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $145k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $490k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $47,632/mo this rent would consume 722% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 4584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29