16 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,104 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Coming Soon
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,670
Tax + insurance
−$982
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,866
Net cashflow
$2,369/mo
Annual
$28,423/yr
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.84%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$195,972
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $592/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $700k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#546 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
Bristol Borough SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $183k; list at $700k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.4% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,887/mo this rent would consume 163% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 808% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F1DC8D03VVYQ0D
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29