3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,991/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$493
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$870/mo
Annual
$10,445/yr
Cap rate
45.30%
Cash-on-cash
139.31%
DSCR
7.20
1% rule
4.99%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#305 in OH, #4,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
North Ridgeville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #339 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 45.3% vs local median 3.3% in North Ridgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F1HTX2CACEQNS0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29