3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,525 sqft ·
Built 2017
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,196/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$31
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$461
Net cashflow
$-138/mo
Annual
$-1,651/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (29.1% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ithica Elementary (math 66% / reading 52%, grade B-, #138 of 1,228 statewide, top 11%, 778 students, 49% FRL); Bay Springs Middle School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #126 of 470 statewide, top 28%, 930 students, 57% FRL); Villa Rica High School (math 16% / reading 34%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,807 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 653 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $310k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F28EKXD1GV4KWD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29