1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
618 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$263
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-347/mo
Annual
$-4,160/yr
Cap rate
3.30%
Cash-on-cash
-10.69%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $139k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-347 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $89k (36.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (36.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
Biloxi Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #7 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Back Bay Elementary School (math 51% / reading 50%, grade D+, #59 of 375 statewide, top 16%, 535 students, 99% FRL); Biloxi Junior High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 881 students, 100% FRL); Biloxi High School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade C+, #7 of 197 statewide, top 3%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 268 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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