None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,169
Tax + insurance
−$1,325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,818
Net cashflow
$5,109/mo
Annual
$61,302/yr
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.54%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$222,600
Investor read
This is a 8×1bd/1ba + 5×?bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $795k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($61k/yr) — positive. Per door: $393/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $795k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($771k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $771k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#78 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454) (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #382 of 501 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Santa Cruz Valley Union High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #230 of 381 statewide, top 61%, 340 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
11 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $520k; list at $795k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $223k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 1.3% in Eloy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,421/mo this rent would consume 285% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 301% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F32MZ8394YX6HD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29