2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
724 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$178
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$417/mo
Annual
$5,004/yr
Cap rate
21.01%
Cash-on-cash
52.57%
DSCR
3.34
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$9,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $34k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $34k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($235 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#282 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Neoga CUSD 3 (rural): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #442 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.