2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,376 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$608
Net cashflow
$-137/mo
Annual
$-1,644/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.84%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$89,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (9.4% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#39 in CT, #2,723 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
North Haven School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #55 of 153 in CT (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Green Acres Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 421 students, 26% FRL); North Haven Middle School (math 45% / reading 68%, grade B, #59 of 175 statewide, top 34%, 724 students, 22% FRL); North Haven High School (math 41% / reading 64%, grade C-, #79 of 194 statewide, top 40%, 921 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 8% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $149k; list at $320k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in North Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F3NBXD32K788WP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29