5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,416 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,690/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,403
Tax + insurance
−$1,063
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,195
Net cashflow
$28/mo
Annual
$338/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.19%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$181,720
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $649k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($338/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $569k (12.3% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $569k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#152 in NY, #2,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
Uniondale Union Free School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #164 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: California Avenue Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,846 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 663 students, 63% FRL); Turtle Hook Middle School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 669 students, 66% FRL); Uniondale High School (math 83% / reading 90%, grade A, #336 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 2,080 students, 62% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 64% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Uniondale Union Free School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $275k; list at $649k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Uniondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,690/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 673% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F3PQGW2Z5KMXYX
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29