3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,668 sqft ·
Built 1919
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,476
Net cashflow
$50/mo
Annual
$606/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$223,972
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($606/yr) — positive. Per door: $25/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $703k (12.1% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($788k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $703k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Trinity Elementary School (math 40% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,350 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 863 students, 66% FRL); Isaac E Young Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 1,138 students, 76% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,028/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F3S7QYAR5N2V37
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29