3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,027 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,309/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,012
Tax + insurance
−$893
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,325
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$953/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$214,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $765k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($953/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $631k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($719k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $631k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#697 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Glenshire Elementary (math 62% / reading 70%, grade B+, #176 of 1,571 statewide, top 11%, 500 students, 12% FRL); Alder Creek Middle (math 41% / reading 54%, grade C-, #113 of 498 statewide, top 23%, 538 students, 26% FRL); Tahoe Truckee High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 890 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in Nevada County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nevada County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $765k implies a 4400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $214k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.0% in Truckee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F3S9N0A1GRMTJ3
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29