8 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,344 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 231 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,816/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,334
Tax + insurance
−$440
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,011
Net cashflow
$1,031/mo
Annual
$12,375/yr
Cap rate
9.07%
Cash-on-cash
9.93%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$124,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $445k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $258/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $445k).
It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $392k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#371 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
School City Of East Chicago (suburban): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #293 of 301 in IN (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 34131% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $230k; list at $445k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $125k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $4,816/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1227% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29