4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$49,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$16,755
Tax + insurance
−$1,902
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$10,322
Net cashflow
$20,175/mo
Annual
$242,099/yr
Cap rate
13.87%
Cash-on-cash
27.06%
DSCR
2.20
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$894,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3.19M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20k ($242k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($49k rent vs $3.19M).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($3.15M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.15M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $342k of equity ($22k loan paydown + $320k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#874 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Bridgehampton Union Free School District (rural): math 50% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #511 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $2.12M; list at $3.19M implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $895k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$549k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $49,154/mo this rent would consume 340% of the median local household income ($174k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29