9 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,296 sqft ·
Built 1912
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,807/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,326
Tax + insurance
−$1,087
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,369
Net cashflow
$11,024/mo
Annual
$132,287/yr
Cap rate
22.33%
Cash-on-cash
57.27%
DSCR
3.55
1% rule
2.52%
Cash to close
$231,000
Investor read
This is a 9-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $825k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($132k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $825k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $800k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $319k; list at $825k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $231k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,807/mo this rent would consume 340% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2232% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F5KRCT2599JRT4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29